Oklahoma’s 5th District: Sooners Aren’t Sleeping

by Leah Askarinam September 13, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

The problem with asking political handicappers, analysts, and operatives what the cycle’s sleeper races are is that, if there were an answer, those races, by definition, wouldn’t be “sleepers.”  

On election night 2018, Oklahoma’s 5th District was the only race that flipped that wasn’t on Inside…

9 Things I Think I Think After the North Carolina Redo Election

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 10, 2019 · 11:44 PM EDT

Nearly a year after the two parties fought to a draw in North Carolina’s 9th District, Republican Dan Bishop and Democrat Dan McCready ended with another close race. Bishop prevailed 51 percent to 49 percent, with absentee ballots remaining to be counted. 

A win is better than a loss (and the…

2020 House Ratings (September 10, 2019)

September 10, 2019 · 11:43 PM EDT

Texas 17: Add Another Republican to List of Retirements

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 4, 2019 · 3:30 PM EDT

It’s not a question of if more House Members will retire; it’s a question of when and where.

On Wednesday, Bill Flores became the fifth Texas Republican to announce he will not seek re-election or another office in 2020. Of the 13 total members retiring in 2020, 11 are Republicans and two are…

2020 House Ratings (September 4, 2019)

September 4, 2019 · 3:29 PM EDT

Trump Vulnerability in a Primary is More Fiction than Fact

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 4, 2019 · 9:05 AM EDT

Former South Carolina Rep. Mark Sanford is seriously considering challenging President Donald Trump in the primary, even though he called the idea “preposterous” on many levels. It’s a rare moment when you should take a politician at his word.

Even if you look past the huge hurdles of the…

North Carolina 9: Parties and Candidates Spending Big in Redo Election

by Steve Passwaiter September 3, 2019 · 11:30 AM EDT

There’s one week to go before the redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District on Sept. 10., and all indications show that Republicans and Democrats know that this is a close race. Polling remains very tight and within the margin of error.  

These off-year special elections always receive…

North Carolina 9: McCready Has Narrow Lead in New Bipartisan Poll

August 30, 2019 · 2:31 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

Democrat Dan McCready has a narrow advantage over Republican Dan Bishop heading into the final days of the Sept. 10 redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District, according to a new bipartisan poll for Inside Elections. 

The survey, conducted Aug. 26-28…

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Republicans Facing a Rough Road in the House

August 30, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

With Democrats marching to the left in the presidential primary, and new, progressive faces in Congress rising to prominence, some Republicans are confident in their relative standing. But they’ve got a difficult path to the House majority in 2020.

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Alabama - Iowa

August 30, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT


1st District (Greater Mobile) Open; Bradley Byrne, R, running for Senate. Trump 64%. A crowded Republican primary, including Mobile County Commissioner Jerry Carl, former state Sen. Bill Hightower, state Rep. Chris Pringle, businessman Wes Lambert, and potentially others, is inevitable…