New York 27: Less Vulnerable With Collins Departure

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 30, 2019 · 4:03 PM EDT

Not all House departures are created equal. Rep. Chris Collins’ resignation should make it easier for Republicans to hold his Buffalo-area seat, because the GOP should have a nominee without legal problems. But New York’s multiple ballot lines could complicate a special election, as it has in the…

2020 House Ratings (September 30, 2019)

September 30, 2019 · 4:02 PM EDT

North Carolina Senate: Something Red, Something Blue

by Leah Askarinam September 27, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

Maybe it’s true that money can’t buy love. But Republicans are hoping it can at least buy acceptance in the North Carolina Senate race.

More than a year ahead of Election Day, GOP Sen. Thom Tillis is spending more than $2 million on re-election ads as he faces a primary challenge and eventually a…

Louisiana Governor: Republicans Pushing for Overtime

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 27, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

With the North Carolina special elections in the rearview mirror, the next high-profile race will take place next month in Louisiana, where voters are electing a governor. Extrapolating the results will be complicated considering it’s a non-federal race in an off-year. But that won’t stop politicos…

Minnesota 7: Republicans Gopher It Again

by Leah Askarinam September 27, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Another cycle, another GOP run at Minnesota’s 7th District. But this time, it could be different.

No other Democrat is defending a seat in which Donald Trump received more support than Collin Peterson. And it’s not even close. Next in line is Rep. Anthony Brindisi in New York’s 22nd District,…

Candidate Conversation - Carl DeMaio (R)

September 27, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

Carl DeMaio (R)

California’s 50th District — Rating: Lean Republican

Interview Date: Sept. 11, 2019

Date of Birth: Sept. 14, 1974; Dubuque, Ia.

Education: Georgetown Univ. (1996)

Elected Office: San Diego city council (former); 52nd District nominee (2014)

Current Outlook: DeMaio is a…

Candidate Conversation - Don Sedgwick (R)

September 27, 2019 · 2:26 PM EDT

Don Sedgwick (R)

California's 45th District — Rating: Likely Democratic

Interview Date: Sept. 25, 2019

Date of Birth: Dec. 31, 1964; Encino, Calif.

Education: BYU (1989)

Elected Office: Laguna Hills City Council; Saddleback Valley Unified School District board member (1997-2014)


Luke Skywalker and the Politics of Impeachment

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 26, 2019 · 8:44 AM EDT

As House Democrats move closer to impeaching President Donald Trump, I’m amazed by the collective certainty about how the storyline will play out. It’s assumed that history will repeat itself. But I can’t help but think of Luke Skywalker’s words of caution.

Up to this point, everyone is assuming…

Nebraska’s 2nd District: High Stakes in Omaha

by Leah Askarinam September 13, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

Omaha, Nebraska is not only the center of the country, but could also be the epicenter of the 2020 elections next year. Nebraska’s 2nd District is a microcosm of the growing urban and rural divide, House Republicans need to hold the seat to take back the majority, and it might be a must-win for…

Key Senate Races Continue to Take Shape

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 13, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

As the presidential primary and House special elections consume most of the recent media attention, there’s been significant developments in key Senate races. Democrats need to gain three seats for control of the Senate, if they win the White House, or four seats to give them an outright majority.…