Archive

Rating Update: Marchant Seat Already Considered Competitive

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 5, 2019 · 12:04 PM EDT

Another day, another Republican retirement. 

It might seem like there’s a flood of Members announcing they will not seek re-election, but we’re still not close to historical levels. And the location of the open seats matters more than the timing.

It's remarkable that Rep. Kenny Marchant is the…

Rating Change: Hurd Retirement Moves Texas District to Democratic Category

by Leah Askarinam August 2, 2019 · 1:17 AM EDT

Will Hurd of Texas has been considered one of Republicans’ strongest incumbents. He proved that point in 2018, when he was one of just three Republicans to win re-election in a district that Hillary Clinton carried in 2016.

But Hurd, who founded a cybersecurity firm before running for Congress,…

How Much Do Recent Retirements Change House Battleground?

July 25, 2019 · 9:57 PM EDT

Republicans Reps. Pete Olson of Texas and Paul Mitchell of Michigan recently announced they will not seek re-election, but how much does their decision impact the fight for the House majority? Open seats are usually more vulnerable than districts where an incumbent is seeking another term, but…

When Trump Attacks, the Base Turns Out — For Both Parties

by Stuart Rothenberg July 25, 2019 · 9:09 AM EDT

President Donald Trump’s attacks on the four Democratic congresswomen, known collectively as “the squad,” appear to be a strange way to try to win reelection.

There is no doubt that Trump needs to motivate his base to win a second term, and his tweets and comments about immigrants and “socialism”…

Trump Admits He was a Liability in 2018

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 24, 2019 · 8:55 AM EDT

President Donald Trump still won’t publicly admit he was a significant factor in Republicans’ loss of the House in 2018. But a behind-the-scenes moment captured in a new book suggests he is more politically self-aware than he leads on.

We know that Trump doesn’t admit mistakes or commit sins. It’s…

Michigan Senate: Renovating The Blue Wall

by Leah Askarinam July 19, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

When the so-called “Blue Wall” came tumbling down in 2016, it seemed like a new era of American politics had arrived. But the 2018 midterm results muddied the waters, leaving politicos with more questions than answers about how Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan will perform in 2020.

All three…

2019 Gubernatorial Overview: Democrats Remain Competitive in Three Red States

by Leah Askarinam July 19, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

While the 2020 races are still getting started, three states are electing a governor later this year. All three (Louisiana, Mississippi, and Kentucky) take place in Republican states, but Democrats have an opportunity to win at least a couple races, if not all three. But they could also get swept. …

Candidate Conversation - Ritchie Torres (D)

by Leah Askarinam July 19, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Ritchie Torres (D)

New York’s 15th District — Rating: Solid Democratic 

Interview Date: June 25, 2019

Date of Birth: March 12, 1988; New York, N.Y.

Education: NYU (attended 2006-2007)

Elected Office: New York City Council (elected 2013, re-elected 2017)

Current Outlook: Democratic Rep. José…