Where Do We Go From Here?

November 4, 2020 · 4:59 AM EST

Based on everything else that has happened this year, this is a fitting end to the 2020 elections, as the fights for the White House and Senate continue on past Election Day. 

The scenario of extended uncertainty shouldn’t be a surprise, since the media has been talking about the need for patience…

What to Watch for on Election Night

by Jacob Rubashkin November 3, 2020 · 10:45 AM EST

As you prepare for tonight, make sure you’re following the entire Inside Elections team on Twitter: @nathanlgonzales @JacobRubashkin @ryanmatsumoto1 @BradWascher @StuPolitics, and the main account: @InsideElections.

It’s Election Day in America, and there’s a lot riding on the outcome. Not only is…

The 2020 Battle for Congress: A Story Through Two Years of Rating Changes

by Jacob Rubashkin November 2, 2020 · 1:53 PM EST

Election Day is this Tuesday, and while it might seem like an eternity since the midterms, it’s only been two years since Americans last went to the polls to elect their members of Congress.

In this article, we’re taking a look back at the last 20 or so months and how our outlook on the fight for…

How Blue is North Carolina? District Baseline Analysis

by Bradley Wascher November 2, 2020 · 10:08 AM EST

As one of the closest battlegrounds in recent election years, North Carolina is often referred to as a microcosm of the nation’s trends: its urban areas are becoming more liberal, and its rural areas are becoming more conservative. 

One way to understand North Carolina’s politics is by studying…

Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 30, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher October 30, 2020 · 9:27 AM EDT

The 2020 campaign isn’t quite over yet, but it is reaching the denouement. And as the final surveys continue to trickle in until Tuesday, now is a great time to step back and contextualize the trends driving the past six months of general election polls. 

Starting off with today’s topline: in an…

2020 Election Preview: Bracing for History

October 28, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

No matter what happens, the 2020 elections will be historic. With impeachment, a pandemic, economic crisis, a national conversation about racism, and the death of a Supreme Court icon, this election cycle is already unforgettable, even before knowing the…

Senate Report Shorts (October 28, 2020)

October 28, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). Not much has changed in the Yellowhammer State  — Jones is still well behind former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville despite vastly outspending the Republican on TV. With Trump poised to carry the state by double digits as well, it’s hard…

House Report Shorts (October 28, 2020): Alaska - New Mexico

October 28, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

At-Large District Don Young, R, re-elected 53%. Trump 51%. Independent Alyse Galvin is still running at least a few points behind the long-time congressman. The good news for Democrats is that Trump is on pace to win Alaska by far less than his 14-point victory in 2016. This is still a hard…

House Report Shorts (October 28, 2020): New York - Wisconsin

October 28, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

New York.
1st District (Eastern Suffolk County) Lee Zeldin, R, re-elected 52%.
Trump 55%. Republicans had long maintained that Democrat Nancy Goroff was a poor fit for this district, but fit may not matter as much in a nationalized election with an unpopular president. Despite Trump winning here by…