Prepare to Be Disappointed on Election Night

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 26, 2018 · 10:42 AM EDT

After two years of campaigning in the latest most consequential election of our lifetimes, election night could be a huge letdown. The disappointment is not about which party prevails Nov. 6, but the reality that a combination of close races and West Coast contests could prevent enough races from…

What 39,000 Words in 15 Profiles Didn’t Tell You About Beto O’Rourke

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 21, 2018 · 10:01 AM EDT

I’m pretty sure three new profiles of Texas Democrat Beto O’Rourke have been published in the time it took me to write this lede. Yet the only thing more remarkable than the sheer volume of stories written about the congressman is that none of them put his 2012 House victory in proper context.


2018 Election Preview: It’s All Over But the Campaigning

September 14, 2018 · 3:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

After nearly two years of campaigning, 52 days is still plenty of time for the midterm elections to develop.

Most of the races are finally fully engaged and the rest of September will be the proving ground for the effectiveness of GOP attack ads. If…

National Notes (September 14, 2018)

September 14, 2018 · 3:29 PM EDT

Republicans’ Slumping Surveys. President Donald Trump’s job approval rating dipped across the board, which should be disconcerting for Republicans on the ballot this fall. Fundamentally, midterm elections are most often a referendum on the president. And if voters are dissatisfied with the…

Senate Report Shorts (September 14, 2018)

September 14, 2018 · 3:28 PM EDT

Arizona. Open; Jeff Flake (R) not seeking re-election. GOP Gov. Doug Ducey appointed former Sen. Jon Kyl to late-Sen. John McCain’s vacant seat. The appointment could last until the end of the term in 2020, but Kyl left open the possibility of leaving the seat before then, after this Congress is…

House Report Shorts (September 14, 2018)

September 14, 2018 · 3:27 PM EDT

Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Republicans are excited about their nominee, Lea Marquez Peterson, but it won’t be easy to hold Rep. Martha McSally’s open seat. Former 1st District Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick won a competitive Democratic primary. She…

Candidate Conversation - Justin Fareed (R)

September 14, 2018 · 3:26 PM EDT

California’s 24th District — Rating: Solid Democratic 

Interview Date: Sept.12, 2018
Date of Birth: May 28, 1988; Santa Barbara, Calif.
Education: UCLA (2010)
Elected Office: None; 24th District nominee (2016), candidate (2014)

Current Outlook: In July, the Fareed campaign released showing him…

2018 House Ratings (September 14, 2018)

September 14, 2018 · 3:25 PM EDT