Presidential Rating Change: Nevada Shifts to Toss-up

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 8, 2024 · 11:46 AM EDT

Despite a persistently tight race in the national polls, President Joe Biden is in a precarious position for reelection and may even be a slight underdog with less than six months to go. 

Former President Donald Trump has led Biden by about 1 point or less for the last six weeks, according to the…

Podcast Episode 22: Mailbag with Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press

May 3, 2024 · 12:41 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press answer questions in the first-ever mailbag episode, talking about races in Iowa, Florida, and New York, the number of astronauts turned politicians, and a look into the world of political handicapping.

Listen to the…

2024 Gubernatorial Overview: Small Cycle, Big Turnover

by Jacob Rubashkin April 26, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

Eleven states will choose a governor this November. But nearly all of the suspense will play out over the next five months, as primary voters pick nominees that will almost assuredly win their general elections.

Just three states are playing host to races that appear competitive for both parties,…

Arizona 6: Twice the Charm in Tucson?

by Jacob Rubashkin April 26, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

The Arizona Supreme Court’s recent abortion ruling put a national spotlight on the Grand Canyon State ahead of the 2024 elections. Beyond the highly competitive and consequential presidential and Senate contests taking place this fall, there are two House races in Arizona that could have national…

2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Georgia

by Bradley Wascher April 26, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Georgia emerged as a top presidential battleground in 2020 and subsequently became ground zero for former President Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn the election. Unsurprisingly the state, currently rated as a Toss-up, is shaping up to be competitive again this November.

President Joe Biden…

Report Shorts (April 26, 2024)

by Jacob Rubashkin April 26, 2024 · 2:26 PM EDT

New Jersey’s 10th District. Rep. Donald Payne, Jr., a six-term Democrat, died on Wednesday. Because the primary is in just a few weeks, county party leaders will select a replacement nominee to succeed Payne in the Newark district. Gov. Phil Murphy can call a special election to fill out the…

Pennsylvania: Primary Results Set Stage for Key Battleground

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 24, 2024 · 10:39 AM EDT

WIth Pennsylvania’s primary in the books, there’s clarity for the general elections in the Keystone State. And with competitive races for the White House, Senate and House, Pennsylvania stands to play a key role in which party is in power next year.

Senate. Democratic Sen. Bob Casey Jr. and…