Georgia 6 Special: Unreasonably Great Expectations

Stuart Rothenberg February 27, 2017 · 9:05 AM EST

The hype about the special election in Georgia’s 6th District has already begun even though the runoff, which will choose the next member of Congress, won’t be held until June 20.

The Daily 202, James Hohmann’s briefing from the Washington Post, went so far as to assert that the suburban Atlanta…

Jason Kander May Have Made a Big Mistake

Nathan L. Gonzales February 22, 2017 · 9:16 AM EST

Missouri Democrat Jason Kander came close to getting elected to the Senate after he burst onto the scene last year with a memorable campaign ad and a strong challenge to GOP incumbent Roy Blunt. Now Kander is widely viewed as a rising star in the Democratic Party, but his postelection choices may…

At DGA, Pearson Quietly Pulling Democrats Back to Prominence

Nathan L. Gonzales February 21, 2017 · 9:15 AM EST

Democratic lawmakers probably wouldn’t recognize Elisabeth Pearson if she walked into their Capitol Hill office, but they might be owing her their jobs before too long. 

As executive director of the Democratic Governors Association and a leading strategist in the party’s redistricting efforts,…

The GOP’s Long-Term Structural Senate Advantage

Stuart Rothenberg February 20, 2017 · 9:30 AM EST

These days, Republicans have a structural advantage in the fight for the House because of how district lines were drawn earlier in the decade. But the party’s current structural advantage in the Senate may be even more important, since it doesn’t depend on state legislators drawing favorable lines,…

The Senate Revolution in North Dakota Will Not Be Televised

Nathan L. Gonzales February 17, 2017 · 1:10 PM EST

Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer’s commitment to radio town halls should keep him connected to his constituents, but it could also help lay the groundwork to challenge a Democratic senator in a top-tier race.

The North Dakota congressman held the most town halls (164) among members of Congress in…

Congressional Republicans Should Be Afraid of Steve Bannon

Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2017 · 2:47 PM EST

It’s no secret that Steve Bannon wants to oversee the demise of the mainstream media, but President Donald Trump’s senior adviser probably wouldn’t mind incapacitating the Republican Party in order to remake it into his own image as well. 

Bannon (and Trump, for that matter) referred to the media,…

New York 24: Katko Stands Tall Between Democrats and Takeover

Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2017 · 3:30 PM EST

Less than a month into Donald Trump’s presidency, Democrats are feeling emboldened. Hundreds of thousands of people marched through the streets of Washington, D.C. and cities across the country to demonstrate their opposition to the new president. 

While Democrats were dealt a difficult map in the…

Analyzing House Democrats’ Initial Target List

Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2017 · 3:29 PM EST

Democrats are still recovering from a severe case of whiplash after losing the White House and making minimal gains in Congress in 2016. But House strategists aren’t wasting any time and have already released an ambitious list of 59 takeover targets. 

After gaining six seats last year, Democrats…

Analyzing House Republicans’ Initial Target List

Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2017 · 3:28 PM EST

Not to be outdone, the National Republican Congressional Committee released its initial list of House takeover targets a little more than a week after the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee revealed its list. 

The GOP list of 36 districts currently held by Democrats is smaller than…

Special Election Update: Watch Georgia’s 6th District

Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2017 · 3:27 PM EST

As the Senate confirms President Donald Trump’s cabinet members, the special elections to replace some of them are starting to take shape. 

Late Thursday night, Republicans in Kansas’ 4th District selected state Treasurer Ron Estes as the GOP nominee to replace Mike Pompeo, who was confirmed as…