Louisiana 2 Special: The Next New Member

by Jacob Rubashkin January 22, 2021 · 2:27 PM EST

The special election to succeed Democratic Rep. Cedric Richmond in Louisiana’s 2nd District has come into focus as the wide field of potential candidates narrows and national figures turn their attention to what may be the first special election of the Biden era.

Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards…

Election Predictions Look Different (and Better) Now that All the Races are Over

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 22, 2021 · 9:09 AM EST

More than two months later, the 2020 elections are still handing out lessons. The latest: Don’t judge election projections until all the results have hatched.

Lost in the aftermath of the siege on the U.S. Capitol was the fact that Democrats won two Senate runoffs in Georgia. Not only does control…

Capitol Invasion Marred Hope of “Peaceful Transfer of Power”

by Jacob Rubashkin January 14, 2021 · 11:19 AM EST

At the final presidential debate of 2016, moderator Chris Wallace asked then-candidate Donald Trump if he would commit to abide by “one of the prides of this country...the peaceful transition of power.”

Trump responded, “I'll keep you in suspense, okay?”

More than four years later, after a…

Wrestling With the Mob

January 8, 2021 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

The invasion of the U.S. Capitol will live forever in America’s history. One of the core problems is that the country is so divided that people do not agree on the size of the stain.

The violent attempt to prevent Congress from ratifying Joe Biden’s…

2022 Senate Overview (January 8, 2021): Control is On the Line, Again

January 8, 2021 · 2:29 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Even before voters in Georgia cast their ballots, it was clear that the fight for the Senate would continue on to the 2022 cycle. No matter who won the runoff races, one party was going to control the chamber by a slim majority. But the Democrats’ victories…

2022 Senate Overview (January 8, 2021): Alabama - Georgia

January 8, 2021 · 2:28 PM EST

ALABAMA. Richard Shelby (R) elected 1986 (50%), 1992 (65%), 1998 (63%), 2004 (68%), 2010 (65%), 2016 (64%). The only real question is whether the 86-year-old senator runs for a seventh term. Shelby was first elected as a Democrat in President Ronald Reagan’s second midterm election and later…

2022 Senate Overview (January 8, 2021): Hawaii - North Carolina

January 8, 2021 · 2:27 PM EST

HAWAII. Brian Schatz (D) appointed Dec. 2012, elected 2014 (70%), 2016 (74%). Biden won the state by nearly 30 points in November and the senator won re-election by more than 50 points in 2016. This is obviously not a Republican target. Most of the political conversation in the state will likely…

2022 Senate Overview (January 8, 2021): North Dakota - Wisconsin

January 8, 2021 · 2:26 PM EST

NORTH DAKOTA. John Hoeven (R) elected 2010 (76%), 2016 (78%). Democrat Heidi Heitkamp’s 2012 victory feels like an eternity ago based on more recent election results. Republican Kevin Cramer defeated Heitkamp by double-digits in 2018 and President Trump just won the state 34 points in November.…

Georgia Senate Runoffs: How Democrats Won

by Ryan Matsumoto January 8, 2021 · 2:25 PM EST

On Tuesday, the 2020 election cycle finally came to an end with two Democratic victories in Georgia’s Senate runoffs. This gives Democrats their 49th and 50th Senate seats, giving them a trifecta with control of the House, Senate, and presidency.

Let’s take a look at some of the keys to victory…