All Eyes on the Hawkeye State: Iowa Baseline by District

by Bradley Wascher October 23, 2020 · 1:37 PM EDT

A staple of the presidential primary season, Iowa has re-emerged as a key state in this year’s general election, with competitive races for President, Senate, and House.

The extent of Iowa’s battleground status is quantified by the Inside Elections Baseline metric, which captures a state or…

2020 Elections: Democrats Poised for a Sweep

October 16, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

The unthinkable has happened. A resilient presidential race has shifted, but not in a way that was expected. 

In the aftermath of President Donald Trump’s first debate performance and subsequent hospitalization for coronavirus, Joe Biden’s national standing…

Senate Report Shorts (October 16, 2020)

October 16, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). A recent New York Times story shed some light on GOP nominee Tommy Tuberville’s finances. It portrays the former Auburn head football coach as a victim who lost millions of dollars in multiple ponzi schemes and questions his “judgement and…

House Report Shorts (October 16, 2020)

October 16, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

6th District (Scottsdale and North Phoenix) Dave Schweikert, R, re-elected 55%.
Trump 52%. Strong performances at the top of the ticket from Joe Biden and Mark Kelly, the ongoing leftward shifts of educated, wealthy suburbs like the ones that make up this district, and Schweikert’s myriad…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (October 16, 2020): Missouri Governor

by Jacob Rubashkin October 16, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

Missouri. Mike Parson (R) ascended to governorship June 2018. This race remains Democrats’ one legitimate pickup opportunity of the cycle. State Auditor Nicole Galloway has continued her streak of strong fundraising, matching or outraising Parson for the last several filing periods, though the…

Virginia Baseline by District Highlights Democratic Strength in the House

by Ryan Matsumoto October 16, 2020 · 2:26 PM EDT

In 2018, Virginia was a crucial state in the battle for the House. Similar to their gains nationwide, Democrats flipped three suburban Republican-held districts: the 2nd, 7th, and 10th. Virginia will continue to play an important role in 2020 House elections, with competitive races in the 2nd, 5th,…