Archive

A June Loss in San Diego Could Spell November Disaster for Republicans

April 18, 2006 · 12:05 AM EDT

A win on June 6 by Democrat Francine Busby in the special election runoff to replace Duke Cunningham (R) in California’s 50th Congressional District would be more than a symbolic victory for the Democrats. Democrats would then need a net gain of only fourteen seats, but more importantly, the…

California 50: Race Far From Over

April 17, 2006 · 12:07 AM EDT

The result of Tuesday’s special election in California’s 50th Congressional District has Democrats claiming the mantle of victory and foreshadowing sweeping change in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November election.

But the reality of the situation is much less clear.

This week’s…

California 50: By the Numbers

April 16, 2006 · 12:10 AM EDT

Democrats are claiming victory after Francine Busby’s 44% showing in Tuesday’s special election to replace Rep. Duke Cunningham (R). But her fight to get over 50% in the June 6 run-off in the San Diego-area congressional seat is certainly uphill.

Busby’s showing was equivalent to John Kerry’s…

Have Democrats Expanded the Field for ’06 House Races?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 13, 2006 · 12:05 AM EDT

For more than a year now, House Democrats have insisted that they want to widen the political playing field by recruiting strong candidates in districts they often have ignored. Now, with about 40 percent of state filing deadlines having already passed, it’s time to ask: How have the Democrats…

Both Parties Guilty of Ballot Games

April 12, 2006 · 12:05 AM EDT

While some Democrats are incensed about the way former Majority Leader Tom DeLay chose to exit his race for reelection in Texas 22, both parties are guilty of being coy with election laws, primaries, and filing deadlines to gain a partisan advantage.

Of all the accusations hurled at DeLay, being…

No Time to DeLay: Now What for the Democrats?

April 11, 2006 · 12:05 AM EDT

In announcing that he was ending his Congressional career and would resign his seat in the United States House of Representatives, Representative Tom DeLay (R) gave Democrats just what they wished for: His head.

DeLay’s exit won’t deprive Democrats of their “culture of corruption” argument.…

It May Look and Smell Like a Poll, but Is It?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 10, 2006 · 12:10 AM EDT

I read “Beware of Online Polls” on the Hotline Web log only a few hours before I received a press release from Tennessee GOP Senate hopeful Ed Bryant’s campaign screaming that “Zogby Poll Confirms Bryant Strongest Candidate.” Bryant’s memo was mostly balderdash, and it’s not alone. I’m seeing…

New Print Edition: KY3, MI Senate, & Senate Ratings

April 7, 2006 · 3:39 PM EDT

The new April 7, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.)

Kentucky 3: Bucking the Trend
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Republican incumbents in districts carried by John Kerry are bracing themselves for the potential…

Kentucky 3: Bucking the Trend

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 7, 2006 · 12:57 PM EDT

Republican incumbents in districts carried by John Kerry are bracing themselves for the potential Democratic wave this November, but Kentucky’s 3rd District Cong. Anne Northup (R) is hoping to be the exception rather than the rule.

For four consecutive cycles, Democratic candidates have…