House News & Analysis
With an avalanche of GOP polling showing dozens of Democratic incumbents at risk – including many that one would never expect – it’s getting hard to separate the truly vulnerable from the possibly at risk. While our overall outlook remains unchanged – Republican gains are most likely to fall…
While the fight for the control of the House of Representatives is taking place on a battlefield that includes almost every state (Alaska and Wyoming are among the exceptions), four Congressional districts have emerged as early battlefields in the Independent Expenditures war being waged by the two parties’ campaign…
Democrats are pushing back these days with polls and political scenarios, trying to change the national narrative and force handicappers onto the defensive.
There is a Democratic mini-surge going on, we are told, as some campaigns produce poll numbers showing they have been prematurely written off as, well,…
Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman suspended his campaign in New York’s 23rd District, dramatically improving the Republicans’ chances of winning back a seat they lost less than a year ago.
Democrat Bill Owens won the GOP open seat in a November 2009 special election after the GOP splintered…
One month before Election Day and this much is clear: Democrats will take a pounding when frustrated (and in some cases unemployed) voters go to the polls. Public opinion polls show a majority of Americans are unhappy with the present course of the country and are impatient for a…
One month before Election Day and this much is clear: Democrats will take a pounding when frustrated (and in some cases unemployed) voters go to the polls. Public opinion polls show a majority of Americans are unhappy with the present course of the country and are impatient for a…
One month before Election Day and this much is clear: Democrats will take a pounding when frustrated (and in some cases unemployed) voters go to the polls. Public opinion polls show a majority of Americans are unhappy with the present course of the country and are impatient for a…
Talk of increased Democratic enthusiasm and an aggressive effort by national Democratic strategists to emphasize districts where Democrats are running well shouldn’t obscure the big picture: Republicans are still headed for large – possibly huge – gains, and they are more likely than not to win a majority of…
As voters are being bombarded with political attack ads in the lead-up to November, few likely realize that what appears as a fine-print citation in a 30-second television commercial is the result of months of opposition research and an orchestrated communication effort by parties and candidates.
In a…
You’d never know it from the avalanche of TV ads, direct-mail pieces and phone calls that voters will receive in October, but most campaigns have only another week or two to change the likely outcome of their contests.
Sure, the midterm elections are still five weeks away, but…