House News & Analysis

Are We Headed for Four Wave Elections in a Row?

by Stuart Rothenberg February 3, 2011 · 8:50 AM EST

Our current streak of “wave” elections — where one party experiences a net loss of at least 20 House seats and the other party has minimal losses — now stands at three (31 seats in 2006, 20 seats in 2008 and 63 seats in 2010), a remarkable string given…

Montana Senate: Rehberg Moves Race to Toss-Up

February 1, 2011 · 11:19 AM EST

With Cong. Denny Rehberg set to announce his candidacy for the U.S. Senate, Republicans got their best possible candidate to take on first-term Sen. Jon Tester (D). Rehberg has been elected statewide in Montana’s at-large congressional district for a decade and early public polling shows him running even or…

So Far, Boehner Is an Able Adversary for Obama

by Stuart Rothenberg January 26, 2011 · 10:52 AM EST

If the producers of AMC’s popular “Mad Men” television series ever need someone to replace Jon Hamm, the actor who plays Don Draper, they need look no further than Speaker John Boehner.

The 11-term Ohio Republican, 61, is significantly older than Draper (Hamm is just short of his…

2012 House Overview (January 20, 2011)

January 20, 2011 · 2:33 PM EST

The outlook for the House in 2012 starts off looking particularly hazy, which isn’t unusual at the beginning of a redistricting cycle.

Republican gains of 63 House seats in last year’s historic “wave” election mean that the GOP won some districts it has no business representing. But since…

Redistricting Winner Is Still to Be Determined

by Stuart Rothenberg January 20, 2011 · 9:41 AM EST

Shortly after the 2010 census numbers were released, new Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel commented that the report “pours cold water on Republicans’ hype that redistricting is a disaster for Democrats.”

The New York lawmaker’s comment, I suppose, was a response to veteran GOP insider Ed…

Political Cartographers Train to Redraw Districts

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 19, 2011 · 3:10 PM EST

Some of the most powerful people you’ve never heard of are coming to the Washington, D.C., area this week, and their legacy will last at least a decade.

Now that the census count and reapportionment are over, we know which states will gain or lose seats as part…

Republican Redistricting Efforts Bankrupt for 2011?

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 17, 2011 · 8:15 AM EST

Republicans are in danger of entering the next stage of redistricting at a significant financial disadvantage thanks to a cash-strapped Republican National Committee and a high-profile outside group that never got off the ground.

In 2009, former Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott (R-Miss.), former Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.)…

This Is a Time to Reflect on What Is Important

by Stuart Rothenberg January 12, 2011 · 9:43 AM EST

The political fallout from the horrific shootings in Tucson, Ariz., on Saturday was predictable. Members of Congress called for a return to civility, gun control advocates used the tragedy to call for more gun control and some liberals blamed the violence on conservatives.

So what else is new?

Nation’s Challenges Won’t Be Any Easier in 2011

by Stuart Rothenberg December 20, 2010 · 8:00 AM EST

For Democrats, 2010 is ending on a low note.

The party’s circular firing squad over the tax cut deal didn’t help the party’s image, the economy doesn’t yet show signs of a strong enough rebound to bring down unemployment and potential foreign policy problems continue to loom just…

Have Democrats Forgotten the Election Already?

by Stuart Rothenberg December 15, 2010 · 9:48 AM EST

Many House Democrats apparently figure that November’s elections had nothing to do with them, their agenda or their leadership.

Sure, their party lost 63 House seats, with voters more than wiping out the Democratic gains from 2006 and 2008 and rejecting their argument that the election was a…