Reporters like to talk about “surges,” but at this point in the cycle most race changes are small unless some dramatic event causes voters to reassess their assumptions. Democrats seem to have improved their position a bit in Pennsylvania, Kentucky and Wisconsin, but the changes aren’t all that dramatic.…
As Christianity and homosexuality exploded as big issues in the Kentucky and Colorado Senate races, I can only think back to a column I wrote for this space only a little more than a year ago (“In Virginia, Culture War Looks Very Much Alive on One Side,” Sept. 24,…
While House Republicans are poised to make huge gains, the Senate is proving to be a tougher climb for the GOP. Democrats currently have only three seats that are definitely lost – North Dakota, Arkansas and Indiana – though a handful of others look either difficult or completely up…
The U.S. Chamber of Commerce has become a very polarizing group — within the Democratic Party.
While some Democrats this week seized on a study, initiated by the liberal blog Think Progress, that alleged the Chamber of Commerce is using foreign money for its political efforts, others were…
This week, we’re moving the Ohio and Missouri Senate races further toward the GOP, but that change doesn’t alter our overall estimate in the Senate. While there are enough Democratic-held states are “in play” to give the GOP a small chance of netting the 10 seats it needs to…
Wisconsin Sen. Russ Feingold's (D) new television ad chastises his opponents for dancing in the end zone, but has gotten him into trouble with the National Football League. One clip had then-Minnesota Vikings receiver Randy Moss acting like he was mooning the crowd at Lambeau Field.
"We did…
One month before Election Day and this much is clear: Democrats will take a pounding when frustrated (and in some cases unemployed) voters go to the polls. Public opinion polls show a majority of Americans are unhappy with the present course of the country and are impatient for a…
One month before Election Day and this much is clear: Democrats will take a pounding when frustrated (and in some cases unemployed) voters go to the polls. Public opinion polls show a majority of Americans are unhappy with the present course of the country and are impatient for a…
One month before Election Day and this much is clear: Democrats will take a pounding when frustrated (and in some cases unemployed) voters go to the polls. Public opinion polls show a majority of Americans are unhappy with the present course of the country and are impatient for a…
With recent polls showing the California race slipping away from the GOP, Republicans likely need to win two out of three competitive Senate contests -- Washington, Connecticut, and West Virginia -- to have a chance at netting ten seats and a majority in the next Senate. That’s not impossible,…
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