Senate News & Analysis

2020 Senate (June 28, 2019): Kentucky - New Mexico

June 28, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 19 primary. Veteran Amy McGrath is likely to challenge the majority leader. She was one of Democrats’ highest-profile House challengers in 2018, but lost to GOP Rep.…

2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): North Carolina - Wyoming

June 28, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). Dec. 20 filing. March 3 primary. Tillis defeated Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan in one of the closest races of the 2014 cycle and next year’s race could be headed for a similar margin. Republicans have a narrow 50-49 percent Baseline advantage. President…

Campaign Ad Spending 2020: What’s Your Number?

by Steve Passwaiter June 26, 2019 · 11:00 AM EDT

Most people in politics are intensely focused on President Donald Trump’s polling numbers in battleground states or the latest horse race numbers in the fight for the Democratic presidential nomination. For those of us in the CMAG group at Kantar, it’s that time of the election cycle when everyone is…

Alabama Senate: Republicans Aim To Avoid Moore Headaches

by Leah Askarinam June 20, 2019 · 3:41 PM EDT

Republicans in Washington are working overtime to make sure Roy Moore isn’t the party’s Senate nominee again. But even though it might get uncomfortable for the GOP, Moore shouldn’t be dismissed in the primary or general elections.

Republican Richard Shelby, Alabama’s senior senator, got ahead of Moore’s Thursday Senate announcement,…

New Mexico Senate: Republicans Search For An Opening

by Leah Askarinam June 14, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

New Mexico may not be leading the national political discussion in 2020, but that’s not because of a lack of political activity.

As the 2020 election cycle first took shape, it seemed like a handful of states would attract the most political attention: House Democrats are targeting Arizona, Minnesota, and…

8 Races That Will Likely Determine Control of the Senate

by Stuart Rothenberg June 12, 2019 · 8:30 AM EDT

The fight for the Senate starts off with only a handful of seats at risk. And that’s being generous.

A few other states are worth your attention because of their competitiveness or questions about President Donald Trump’s impact, but almost two-thirds of Senate contests this cycle start as “safe” for…

Why a GOP Super PAC is Bothering to Attack Steve Bullock’s Bid for President

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 7, 2019 · 3:44 PM EDT

Montana Gov. Steve Bullock isn’t one of the leading Democratic contenders for the 2020 presidential nomination, but he’s learning how to turn a Republican attack into an asset for his campaign.

On May 29, the GOP-affiliated Senate Leadership Fund started a television ad campaign in the Missoula media market, according…

Texas Senate: Do Democrats Have A Lone, Star Candidate?

by Leah Askarinam May 31, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

With Democrats targeting six seats, Texas starts at the center of the conversation about the House majority in 2020.  But the Lone Star State is still on the periphery of the presidential and Senate battlefields.

On one hand, despite the national headwinds that should have helped the Democratic nominee sail…

Candidate Conversation - John Walsh (D)

May 31, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

Colorado Senate -- Rating: Toss-Up

Interview Date: May 21, 2019

Date of Birth: May 28, 1961; New York City, N.Y.

Education: Williams College (1983); Stanford (1986 J.D.); Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (attended)

Elected Office: None; candidate for Denver District Attorney (2004)

Current Outlook: Walsh will likely be one of a handful…

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Pennsylvania Special, Kentucky Governor, and the Trail Blazers

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 23, 2019 · 10:49 AM EDT

California’s 48th District: The Orange County Republican Party endorsed County Supervisor Michelle Steel on Monday in the race against freshman Democratic Rep. Harley Rouda, which could give pause to potential candidates such as former state Sen. Janet Nguyen.

Colorado Senate: Former District Attorney John Walsh, a Democrat, came by the…