Senate News & Analysis

Maryland Senate: Democrats Jockey for Mikulski’s Seat

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 6, 2015 · 1:57 PM EST

Five-term Sen. Barbara Mikulski announced her retirement on Monday giving ambitious Maryland Democrats an open seat opportunity. But it remains to be seen how many candidates will take the plunge. 

Mikulski, who served in Congress longer than any other woman, had been raising money but was never definitive about…

Report Shorts (March 6, 2015) CA Senate, FL Senate, MO Governor, NC Senate

March 6, 2015 · 1:55 PM EST

California Senate. Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa (D) decided against running for the open seat created by Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer’s retirement. State Attorney General Kamala Harris (D) continues to be the considerable favorite in the race. 

Rep. Xavier Becerra (D) hasn’t announced his decision, but Maryland Sen.…

Pat Toomey Is a Strong Candidate. Will That Be Enough in 2016?

by Stuart Rothenberg March 5, 2015 · 8:45 AM EST

Yes, I know Pennsylvania Democrats don’t have a 2016 Senate candidate who excites the entire party yet. I also know the election is 20 months away — plenty of time for them to rally around a nominee.

GOP Sen. Patrick J. Toomey’s re-election prospects in Pennsylvania next year…

Feingold, Sestak Face History, Former Foes in Senate Rematches

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 4, 2015 · 10:38 AM EST

The Senate is filled with members who lost previous races. But Democrats Joe Sestak and Russ Feingold are trying to pull off a rare electoral feat: defeating the people who defeated them six years prior.

In 2010, Republican businessman Ron Johnson defeated Feingold, the incumbent Democrat, 52 percent to…

Remembrance of Shutdowns Past

by Stuart Rothenberg February 27, 2015 · 9:00 AM EST

Republicans scored big gains in the 2010 and 2014 elections because both of those midterms were about President Barack Obama and the Democratic Party. Democrats had successful elections in 2006, 2008 and 2012 primarily because they made those elections about the GOP and George W. Bush, John McCain and…

Senate Challenger Battles Secretary of State Curse

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 24, 2015 · 7:21 AM EST

Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander, a Democrat, announced his challenge to GOP Sen. Roy Blunt Thursday. But he’ll have to overcome the Republican lean of the Show-Me State and history in order to win.

There are many paths to the Senate, but being a secretary of state is…

How Much Money Does it Take to Defeat a Senator?

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 20, 2015 · 2:30 PM EST

Political reporters love to write about fundraising. Tracking and comparing how much money incumbents and challengers have raised and spent is a staple of political journalism. But it can also be misleading. 

If history is any guide, candidate spending can be a poor indicator of re-election success, particularly considering…

California Senate: Boxer’s Retirement Complicates Contenders’ Plans to Move Up the Ladder

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 20, 2015 · 2:28 PM EST

Democrat Barbara Boxer’s retirement sets up the first open Senate seat in California in over 20 years, but it’s not quite the right timing for some ambitious politicos. 

For an open seat in a Democratic state, the Democratic field has narrowed quickly. State Attorney General Kamala Harris is running…

Report Shorts (February 20, 2015) California 44, Mississippi 1, Missouri Senate

February 20, 2015 · 2:26 PM EST

California’s 44th District. Democratic Rep. Janice Hahn is running for an open seat on the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors and not seeking re-election in 2016. Her seat is not at risk of falling into Republican hands. State Sen. Isadore Hall (D) is running and has Hahn’s support. 

Other…

Ohio Senate: Portman Shifts from Offense to Defense

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 6, 2015 · 2:00 PM EST

Ohio Sen. Rob Portman was a key part of the Republican effort to take back the Senate majority in 2014 by raising money to get others elected. Now he’s a critical part of keeping the majority by getting re-elected. 

On one hand, the path back to the Senate majority…