Republican Mike Rounds continues to underperform in what has become a whacky three-way fight (four-way, if you count the Libertarian on the ballot). While the state’s Republican bent could well bail him out in November, and the NRSC has allocated money for the race, we can no longer rule…
While the campaign of Michigan GOP Senate nominee Terri Lynn Land crows about a new Wenzel Research poll showing her tailing Democratic nominee Gary Peters by less than three percentage points, it’s increasingly difficult to see this contest as highly competitive.
A year and a half ago, we…
A few weeks ago I wrote Senate Republicans would gain at least seven seats, even though the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call race ratings showed a likely Republican gain of five to eight seats.
That expectation was based on national survey results that showed the president extremely is…
I’m not certain how long a trend has to exist before it earns the status of an immutable political “law,” but three longtime truths are threatened this election cycle. Will all of them fall in November?
Trend #1: One party holds the Pennsylvania governorship for eight years and…
There is always some uncertainty as an election approaches, and that’s especially the case when dueling polls show very different snapshots of a race.
In Arkansas, for example, two September polls conducted by Hickman Analytics, Inc. for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee’s Independent Expenditure campaign showed incumbent Democratic…
It seems like everyone wrote the story: Family political dynasties were supposed to save Mark Begich, Mark Pryor and Mary L. Landrieu, the trio of vulnerable Democratic senators running for re-election in Republican-leaning states.
But as the sports adage says, “That’s why they play the games.”
The…
With just weeks to go before Election Day, the fight for the Senate is coming down to a handful of states, and two of them are very familiar to the chairmen of the two Senate campaign committees.
Kansas Republican Jerry Moran and Colorado Democrat Michael Bennet are…
With six weeks to go, the fight for control of the Senate is down to five states, four of them currently held by Democrats.
Republicans must win only two of those contests to guarantee the 51 seats they need to control the Senate for the last two years…
With less than six weeks to go before Election Day, the majority in the United States Senate is still firmly up for grabs. Based on President Barack Obama’s slumping job approval numbers and the friendly batch of states that are up this cycle, the Republican road to 51 seats…
What happens in this year’s midterm elections doesn’t matter. What elected officials and party strategists think happened, will carry far more weight into the next Congress and the 2016 elections.
What if Republicans win control of the Senate and expand their majority in the House?
It will…
