Senate News & Analysis

Senate Majority Still Hangs in the Balance

by Stuart Rothenberg June 6, 2014 · 4:00 PM EDT

Control of the Senate in 2014 is all about the arithmetic, and the numbers -- and history -- still favor the GOP.

Both South Dakota and West Virginia look all-but-certain to flip to the Republicans, with Montana still a very difficult lift for the Democrats.

That means…

2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) Alabama - Kansas

June 6, 2014 · 3:59 PM EDT

ALABAMA -- Jeff Sessions (R), elected 1996 (52%), 2002 (59%) and 2008 (63%). The last Democratic Senate nominee to receive even 40 percent of the vote in Alabama was Roger Bedford nearly 20 years ago. Safe Republican.

ALASKA -- Mark Begich (D), elected 2008 (48%). August 26 primary.…

2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) Kentucky - New Mexico

June 6, 2014 · 3:58 PM EDT

KENTUCKY -- Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%). Senate Minority Leader McConnell beat primary challenger Matt Bevin surprisingly easily, and he will now turn his guns on Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes, who gives Democrats their best chance of…

2014 Senate Overview (June 6, 2014) North Carolina - Wyoming

June 6, 2014 · 3:57 PM EDT

NORTH CAROLINA -- Kay Hagan (D), elected 2008 (53%). Given the GOP’s recent victories in the state, Hagan certainly knew that she would have a serious challenge. State House Speaker Thom Tillis won the Republican nomination without a runoff, allowing him to avoid further attacks and focus all his…

Why Do We Suddenly Care About Races for Lt. Governor?

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 6, 2014 · 9:50 AM EDT

The office of lieutenant governor is so important that five states don’t even have one, yet that hasn’t stopped the national political media from treating some contests for the office as crucial indicators of something.

In the recent primary runoff in Texas, anti-establishment conservative state Sen. Dan Patrick…

Thad Cochran’s Mississippi

by Stuart Rothenberg June 3, 2014 · 9:42 AM EDT

CLEVELAND, Miss. — The rain pounded the Mississippi Delta for the better part of three days late last week, but the nasty weather and a hard-fought primary contest didn’t stop Sen. Thad Cochran from attending the Delta Council’s annual event on May 30 on the Delta State University campus.…

Oregon Senate: National Republicans Get Their Nominee for Potential Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 28, 2014 · 5:00 PM EDT

Republican strategists believe they have expanded the field of competitive Senate races to include Oregon. But only time will tell whether the Beaver State is really in play and whether Sen. Jeff Merkley (D) is indeed vulnerable.

There really was a lot riding on the May 20 GOP…

South Carolina Senate: Lindsey Graham is Not Safe, Yet

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 28, 2014 · 4:57 PM EDT

Before the cycle began, South Carolina Republican Lindsey Graham was probably near the top of any list of senators who might get a serious challenge from the Right. And a couple weeks ago, the Charleston County Republican Party opted to censure Graham for not being Republican enough.

But…

Senate Report Shorts (May 28, 2014) Arkansas, Georgia, Kansas, Kentucky, Mississippi, Nebraska

May 28, 2014 · 4:56 PM EDT

Arkansas Senate. The GOP nomination was never in doubt considering Rep. Tom Cotton is a rare Republican candidate who has brought together the establishment and anti-establishment wings of his party. But Democrats are increasingly bullish on Sen. Mark Pryor’s chances of winning re-election. Based on internal Democratic polling and…

The Long Lost Tale of Phil Maloof

by Stuart Rothenberg May 22, 2014 · 9:38 AM EDT

Most readers know that Nathan Gonzales and I, along with our friends from Roll Call, interview at least 150 candidates for Congress every election cycle. I have been doing it for many years.

Not every hopeful passes through our offices, of course, and many candidates have won elections…