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Vermont Senate: It All Depends on the Meaning of Independent

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Nathan L. Gonzales April 22, 2005 · 11:45 PM EDT

The announcement by Senator Jim Jeffords didn’t come as a complete surprise to some insiders. The Vermont Independent’s health has been an issue for some time, and while he had indicated his intention to seek a fourth term, many doubted that Jeffords would actually be on the ballot next year.

Rhode Island Senate: Multi-Front War

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Nathan L. Gonzales April 22, 2005 · 11:40 PM EDT

Sen. Lincoln Chafee (R) of Rhode Island has a long 18 months ahead of him. First, he’s facing pressure from his caucus to stay in line on critical votes in the Senate. Second, he could face a serious primary challenge from a more conservative Republican. And third, if he survives a primary, he…

New Jersey Governor: Nothing But Net

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Nathan L. Gonzales April 22, 2005 · 11:33 PM EDT

Voters in New Jersey will go to the polls June 7 to nominate a candidate for governor. And later this November, unless the Republicans can get their act together and pull off a monumental upset, Sen. Jon Corzine (D) will become the next governor of the Garden State.

The New Jersey Republicans…

Nevada 2: The Great Wide Open

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Nathan L. Gonzales March 29, 2005 · 9:24 PM EST

Nevada is more than just Las Vegas or even Clark County. It’s Reno, state capital Carson City and the so-called Cow Counties. Since 1996, those areas – and even part of Clark County – have been represented by Cong. Jim Gibbons (R), but that’s going to end next year when the Republican gives up…

Florida 11: Down By the Bay

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Nathan L. Gonzales March 29, 2005 · 9:20 PM EST

By all indications, Florida’s 11th Congressional District will host a competitive Democratic primary next year. Only someone living in a hole is surprised that the Tampa-area seat is open, considering Cong. Jim Davis (D) has been a likely gubernatorial candidate for at least two years.

Davis’…

Pennsylvania 6: New Cycle, (Slightly) New Scenario

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Nathan L. Gonzales March 16, 2005 · 9:02 PM EST

Another less than impressive showing by Cong. Jim Gerlach (R) in Pennsylvania’s competitive 6th District almost guarantees him another tough race next year.

In 2002, the scenario was an open seat with Ed Rendell (D) at the top of the ticket running for governor and driving turnout in the…

Idaho 1: Dems Hoping for a Dynamite Race

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Nathan L. Gonzales March 16, 2005 · 8:57 PM EST

Democrats are searching near and far for any and all potential opportunities, hoping that voters in this second mid-term election will want to send a disgruntled message to President George W. Bush by voting against his party in 2006.

The Democrats’ search has landed them in one of the most…

Illinois 8: Going for the Hold

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Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2005 · 9:52 PM EST

Last November, Democrat Melissa Bean pulled off the biggest upset of the 2004 election cycle. Knocking off 17-term incumbent Phil Crane (R) in Illinois’ 8th C.D. was no easy task. In fact, it took Bean two tries and four years to do it. But for the new congresswoman, there is little time to…

Iowa 1: If It’s Open, They Will Run

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Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2005 · 9:48 PM EST

The 2004 election results still have some Democrats feeling sick. But an open seat in Iowa’s 1st Congressional District may be just the cure the party needs.

Cong. Jim Nussle (R) is expected to vacate his seat in order to run for governor, leaving Republicans with a very difficult seat to hold…

Will House GOP Need Hurricane Insurance or Just a Raincoat?

September 9, 2002 · 12:10 PM EDT

Political prognosticating these days is a bit like trying to predict the track of an Atlantic hurricane as it approaches the coast.

The storm could simply churn offshore before going out to sea (doing littel damage to the most vulnerable), or it could veery off into any of four different…