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New Print Edition: Virginia Senate, Pennsylvania 7, & New House Ratings

May 18, 2006 · 5:10 PM EDT

The new May 18, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.)

Virginia Senate: Common Goal, Common Wealth
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Democrats in Virginia and the nation’s capital are determined to re-take the majority in…

Pennsylvania 7: Shopping for Opportunities

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Nathan L. Gonzales May 18, 2006 · 12:36 PM EDT

Democrats are targeting Republican districts all over the country, but a couple of geographic areas could be the key to Democratic success on Election Night in November.

Connecticut is one obvious state with three vulnerable Republican incumbents, but just a few hours south, Democrats are…

Virginia Senate: Common Goal, Common Wealth

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Nathan L. Gonzales May 18, 2006 · 11:30 AM EDT

Democrats in Virginia and the nation’s capital are determined to re-take the majority in the U.S. Senate, and increasingly they are focusing on a new target: Sen. George Allen (R) of Virginia. Democrats realize that defeating Allen would not only increase their chances of getting to 51 seats on…

The Key Democratic Race for ’08: Bayh vs. Warner vs. Edwards

Stuart Rothenberg May 17, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

The race for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination won’t begin officially until after November’s midterm elections, but already there are signs that a race-within-the-race is developing to become the “alternative” to frontrunner Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y).

The three contenders,…

Nebraska Primary Wrap-Up

May 16, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

Last week’s heavyweight primary between Gov. Dave Heineman (R) and Rep. Tom Osborne (R-NE) lived up to the hype. Even though Osborne started with a large lead and seemingly impenetrable popularity, Heineman’s victory was neither a surprise nor an upset, but it was an incredible finesse campaign by…

Can Democrats Win These Four Uphill Open Seats?

Stuart Rothenberg May 15, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT

The Democrats have a real chance of sweeping three open seats in Democratic-leaning or tossup districts this fall: Arizona’s 8th, Colorado’s 7th and Iowa’s 1st. But they may need to win more open seats than that to take control of the House of Representatives.

To have the really big election…

New Jersey Senate: Most Likely Democratic Loss in ’06?

Stuart Rothenberg May 11, 2006 · 12:05 AM EDT

I recently received an e-mail from a friend who also happens to be a very savvy observer of New Jersey politics and a veteran of Democratic Party wars. His point was both clear and concise: I was wrong in a recent column to identify the Garden State Senate race as the GOP’s best chance to pick up…

Ohio Primary Paints Clearer November Picture

May 9, 2006 · 12:05 AM EDT

A handful of competitive races got a whole lot clearer on Tuesday when Ohio voters went to the polls in their primary. And for the most part, Democrats remain well positioned to take advantage of Republican ineptness.

Of course even though the nominees have been chosen, these races are far from…

Can Bush Fill the Leadership Vacuum He Created?

Stuart Rothenberg May 8, 2006 · 10:10 AM EDT

Once upon a time, polls showed that most Americans believed George W. Bush was a strong leader. Now, fewer than half of those polled give him credit for leadership, and his poll numbers also have plummeted on integrity and honesty.

In separate incidents, two Democratic pollsters told me…