Inside Elections

2012 Senate Ratings (February 10, 2011)

February 10, 2011 · 11:00 AM EST

New York 26: Yet Another Special Election

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 9, 2011 · 11:20 PM EST

GOP Cong. Chris Lee’s resignation from Congress sets up yet another House special election in New York. The married congressman left office soon after the story broke that he was pursuing a date with a woman on Craig’s List, including sending a shirtless photo of himself to her.

The 26th…

2012 House Ratings (February 10, 2011)

February 9, 2011 · 11:05 PM EST

Another Loss From America’s Best Generation

by Stuart Rothenberg February 9, 2011 · 9:26 AM EST

John H.F. Hoving was buried last week with military honors at Arlington National Cemetery. He was 87 years old.

I met John some 25 years ago, a few years after I moved to Washington, D.C., and after he dropped me a kind note out of the blue about my newsletter.

A few times each year, John…

Why Romney Is a Very Frail GOP Frontrunner

by Stuart Rothenberg February 7, 2011 · 9:00 AM EST

Unlike the Democrats, who almost always at least flirt with off-beat presidential hopefuls and sometimes even pick a nominee who started as a long shot for their nomination, Republicans have, over the past 50 years, generally preferred “the next guy in line” when they select their White House…

Beware of Ad Campaigns With More Bark Than Bite

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 4, 2011 · 9:44 AM EST

If a campaign ad airs and no one hears it, does it exist? Partisan strategists are determined to find out.

As part of a new “Drive to 25” campaign, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee unveiled an “advertising and grassroots campaign” to hold Republican incumbents “accountable for…

Are We Headed for Four Wave Elections in a Row?

by Stuart Rothenberg February 3, 2011 · 8:50 AM EST

Our current streak of “wave” elections — where one party experiences a net loss of at least 20 House seats and the other party has minimal losses — now stands at three (31 seats in 2006, 20 seats in 2008 and 63 seats in 2010), a remarkable string given our recent history of single-digit swings.

Montana Senate: Rehberg Moves Race to Toss-Up

February 1, 2011 · 11:19 AM EST

With Cong. Denny Rehberg set to announce his candidacy for the U.S. Senate, Republicans got their best possible candidate to take on first-term Sen. Jon Tester (D). Rehberg has been elected statewide in Montana’s at-large congressional district for a decade and early public polling shows him…

2012 Senate Ratings (February 1, 2011)

February 1, 2011 · 11:19 AM EST

2012 House Ratings (February 1, 2011)

February 1, 2011 · 11:18 AM EST