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2008 Gubernatorial Overview (October 31, 2008)

October 31, 2008 · 11:34 AM EDT

For much of 2008, only four of the eleven races were considered competitive: Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina, and Washington. Now the competitive playing field has narrowed to just two, and our range continues to be a Democratic gain of one governorship to a Republican gain of a governorship.

2008 House Overview (October 31, 2008)

October 31, 2008 · 11:29 AM EDT

As Election Day nears, we see no reason to veer from the view that we have held for months – that the 2008 House elections will give Democrats another big victory. Some Democratic challengers and open seat hopefuls already are over 50% in polling, but many are still in the mid-to-upper 40s. We…

2008 Senate Overview (October 31, 2008)

October 31, 2008 · 11:00 AM EDT

As the 2008 election cycle wanes, Democrats remain poised to make major gains in the Senate. As our chart indicates, seven GOP seats are likely to fall to Democrats, with an eighth, Minnesota, a toss-up. If Al Franken (D) ousts Sen. Norm Coleman (R) in the Gopher State, Democrats would need to…

Republicans Turn to ‘No Blank Check’ in Final Days

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 31, 2008 · 10:50 AM EDT

With Sen. John McCain’s (R-Ariz.) White House prospects dimming and just days to go before the elections, Republicans are turning to a “no blank check” strategy in an effort to minimize their losses in the House and Senate.

The National Republican Senatorial Committee has been hammering the “no…

RNC, GOP tweak tactics to lure conservative Democrats

by Stuart Rothenberg October 30, 2008 · 5:47 PM EDT

(CNN) — While many in the media are single-mindedly focused on vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin’s outfits, Republican efforts to brand Sen. Barack Obama a socialist and the chances that Democrats will net nine Senate seats (giving them 60 seats in the next Senate), some other interesting…

Choosing Winners, Losers: Did NRCC Make Right Picks?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 30, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Like everyone who pays attention to House races, I was more than a little interested to see where the National Republican Congressional Committee would use its limited resources on independent expenditures this cycle.

Now, with Election Day fast approaching and Republicans likely to lose more…

2008 House Ratings (October 24, 2008)

October 29, 2008 · 1:04 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain 27-33 seats, up from a Democratic gain of 25-30 seats.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly added



PURE TOSS-UP (10 R, 3 D)
  • AL 2 (Open; Everett, R) #
  • AL 5 (Open;…

Three hot states to watch on Election Night

by Stuart Rothenberg October 29, 2008 · 12:04 AM EDT

(CNN) — With the presidential campaign and more than 75 competitive races for the House and Senate, keeping track of it all on Election Day can be a bit overwhelming. But focusing on three states (North Carolina, Ohio, and Florida) will provide a window through the November 4 election chaos. Read…

Alaska Senate: Begich Now Favored

October 28, 2008 · 11:16 PM EDT

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