Is Edwards Following the Dean and Gephardt Models Too Closely?

by Stuart Rothenberg May 17, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

It wasn’t very long ago that I wrote in this space that, in the argument as to whether the Democratic contest for president is a two-person or a three-person race, I was a member of the “John Edwards is in the Democratic top tier” camp.

I argued his strength in Iowa, clear message and personal…

Cornyn and Dole: Two (Vulnerable) Peas in a Pod?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 14, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Democrats are not so quietly passing the word: Republican Sens. John Cornyn (Texas) and Elizabeth Dole (N.C.) are vulnerable in 2008. Should we believe them, or are the two GOP incumbents so safe that they aren’t really worth watching?

Cornyn was elected to the Senate a little more than four…

The Media Shouldn’t Ignore Organized Labor in the Democratic Race

by Stuart Rothenberg May 10, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

It’s been a quadrennial happening for decades. Every four years, Democratic presidential hopefuls waddle up to one of the party’s holiest of political shrines, the AFL-CIO, and seek the blessing of organized labor. The national media covers the developments as religiously as it fawns over the…

Palmetto Debate: Long Gone and Already Forgotten

by Stuart Rothenberg May 7, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

While there was a lot of buildup to the Democrats’ presidential debate in South Carolina, it proved what I have been arguing repeatedly for months: Most of the early happenings soon will fade into distant memory and have little impact on the race for the Democratic nomination.

The lack of a…

New Print Edition: 2007-08 Gubernatorial Outlook

May 4, 2007 · 12:10 AM EDT
The latest print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate…

2007-08 Gubernatorial Ratings

May 4, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. We have moved to our pre-election categories. Democrats currently hold 28 governorships compared to 22 for the Republicans. 2007 races are in italics.

  • Open; Blanco (D)
TOSS-UP (2 R, 0 D)
  • Blunt (R-MO)

Is Fred Thompson Coming to the GOP’s Rescue?

by Stuart Rothenberg May 3, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

I’ll admit that I have had a hard time warming to the idea that former Sen. Fred Thompson (R-Tenn.), whom I first saw as minority counsel during the Senate Watergate hearings and whose TV and movie credits include “Die Hard 2,” “The Hunt for Red October” and “Law & Order,” would run for…

GOP Back to Square One

by Stuart Rothenberg May 1, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Republicans are back to square one with black voters. And they don’t have an aggressive plan to reach out again anytime soon.

As head of the Republican National Committee for the past two years, Ken Mehlman made a concerted and aggressive push to reach out to the black community. While his…

The Sounds of Silence From Democrats on the Hot-Button Issues

by Stuart Rothenberg April 30, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

If you really want to see how times have changed across the nation in general, and on Capitol Hill in particular, all you need to do is consider both the way high-profile Democrats have reacted to recent events and how the Democrats are proceeding in Congress. It’s stunning, and that’s not mere…

Waiting for Godot ... or Hagel, Warner, Cochran and Craig

by Stuart Rothenberg April 26, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

By Stuart Rothenberg

While the clock ticks on the 2008 election cycle, Republicans are holding their collective breath about the political futures of four veteran GOP Senators.

Nebraska’s Chuck Hagel, Virginia’s John Warner, Mississippi’s Thad Cochran and Idaho’s Larry Craig all have been…