Ohio 18: Going, Going, Gone?

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2006 · 9:10 PM EST

GOP Cong. Bob Ney is in serious trouble. He has not been indicted like his colleague Tom DeLay, but his reelection prospects are in jeopardy. The ethical questions surrounding Ney and his relationship with lobbyist Jack Abramoff has put the Republican Party at risk of losing Ohio’s 18th…

Ohio 13: Playing Catch-Up

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2006 · 9:06 PM EST

Democratic Cong. Sherrod Brown finally decided to take the Senate plunge, setting up an open seat race in Ohio’s 13th Congressional District. Brown, who was first elected in 1992, is taking on Sen. Mike DeWine (R) in a state where Republicans are reeling.

But Brown’s absence in his district has…

Pennsylvania Senate: First One to Fall

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2006 · 9:02 PM EST

There is no presidential race this year, but Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate Race may be the next best thing. Up to this point, the race hasn’t even been close, with state Treasurer Bob Casey Jr. (D) leading Sen. Rick Santorum (R) by ten to twelve points in public polling with seven months to go. But…

New Print Edition: PA Senate, OH13&18

March 24, 2006 · 4:01 PM EST

The new March 24, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.)

Pennsylvania Senate: First One to Fall
By Nathan L. Gonzales

There is no presidential race this year, but Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate Race may be the next…

An Empire State Headache for Republicans?

by Stuart Rothenberg March 22, 2006 · 11:05 PM EST

Looking for a sign of whether a big Democratic wave is developing? Try New York.

Once a state with genuine political competitiveness where liberal Republicans (including Thomas Dewey, Jacob Javits, Nelson Rockefeller and Ken Keating) prospered, the Empire State has veered toward the Democrats…

New York 24: Boehlert (R) Retirement Only a Small Opportunity

March 22, 2006 · 12:14 AM EST

Another Republican retirement. Another Republican open seat.

But while Democratic strategists will try to make Congressman Sherwood “Sherry” Boehlert’s retirement into an opportunity for a takeover, the Upstate New York district is likely to remain in GOP hands in November.

State Sen. Ray Meier (R)…

Local vs. National

March 21, 2006 · 12:05 AM EST

House Republicans are embracing former House Speaker Tip O’Neill’s famous line, “All politics is local,” but history suggests they may be taking it to their electoral grave. Midterm elections in 1966, 1974, 1982, and 1994 certainly weren’t local – they were national.


The Political Environment Isn’t George Allen’s Friend

March 20, 2006 · 12:05 AM EST

The brief stay by Sen. George Allen (R-Va.) as my frontrunner in the race for the Republican presidential nomination is over. It was much, much shorter than I expected.

But Allen, a first-term Senator who served as governor of the commonwealth of Virginia, didn’t lose that status because of his…

Minnesota 5: Martin Sabo (D) to Retire

March 17, 2006 · 4:59 PM EST

Fourteen-term Democratic Cong. Martin Sabo is announcing his retirement. His 5th District Minneapolis-based seat went for John Kerry 71%-28% in the 2004 presidential election. The race will only be contested in the Democratic primary.

Early potential candidates mentioned include Sabo’s chief of…

Reports of Bob Riley’s Death Have Been Greatly Exaggerated

by Stuart Rothenberg March 15, 2006 · 11:05 PM EST

Like Rasputin, who refused to die even after he was poisoned, shot three times and beaten with a 2-pound dumbbell, Alabama Gov. Bob Riley (R) is proving to be more resilient than many political observers once assumed.

Riley was pronounced politically dead by many — including me — more than two…