Archive

New Print Edition: Illinois 6 & Pennsylvania 4

December 15, 2006 · 12:19 PM EST

The December 15, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. This is our final edition of the year. Our first issue in January will be our 2008 Senate overview. To read the complete analysis of what happened in these two races, you must subscribe.

Illinois 6:…

The Year That Was: A Very, Very, Very Weird One in Politics

by Stuart Rothenberg December 13, 2006 · 11:01 PM EST

Every so often, we have a very odd political year. The year 2006 was one of them.

Here’s a little test. Which one of the following things did you expect to happen 12 months ago? Please, be honest.

• Democrats would win the Senate;

• Republican Reps. Jim Leach (Iowa), Jeb Bradley (N.H.) and…

Do ’08 Presidential Contenders Need a Great Story?

by Stuart Rothenberg December 10, 2006 · 11:13 PM EST

Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack (D) was an orphan before being adopted by a couple in Pittsburgh. His adoptive mother struggled with alcoholism.

Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) was born in Hawaii to a Kenyan-born economist who was educated at Harvard and a white woman from Kansas. He grew up in Indonesia…

Looking Back at ’06: The Most, the Least, the Best and the Worst

by Stuart Rothenberg December 6, 2006 · 11:02 PM EST

OK, it’s that time of year again when we can all vote for the best and worst candidates and campaigns. Here are my nominees:

Please Don’t Ever Run Again

• Francine Busby (D-Calif.)
• Patty Wetterling (D-Minn.)
• Bill Gluba (D-Iowa)
• Bill Weld (R-N.Y./Mass.)

Analysis: All of these…

How’d We Do?

December 4, 2006 · 12:08 AM EST

How’d we do? Not bad. Not bad at all.

For the Senate, we pretty much hit the nail on the head. In our last issue before the election, we wrote: “While Senate control is in doubt, with anything from a 51-49 Republican Senate to a 52-48 Democratic Senate possible, we do not think the two sides…

Can Tom Cole and Howard Dean Both Be Wrong?

by Stuart Rothenberg November 29, 2006 · 11:04 PM EST

I’ll bet that Rep. Tom Cole, a conservative Republican from Oklahoma and the new chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee, and Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean of Vermont agree on very little. But they are singing from the same songbook when they argue that…

New Print Edition: Texas 23 & Louisiana 2

November 29, 2006 · 3:05 PM EST

The November 29, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. To read the complete analysis of the two runoff races, you must subscribe.

Texas 23: The Lone Ranger
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Republicans are still reeling from their losses and coming to grips with…

Let the Awards Begin: The Worst Self-Inflicted Wound of 2006

by Stuart Rothenberg November 21, 2006 · 11:02 PM EST

After every election, I offer a list of the best and worst, the most and the least. I started doing that the other day, but I ended up filling an entire column with a single category: The Worst Self-Inflicted Wound of 2006.

I will get back to a more exhaustive list of the best and worst…

Ballot Measure Wrap-Up

November 21, 2006 · 12:01 AM EST

This year was a busy one for ballot measures. But in many cases, voters weren’t buying what was on offer.

Jennie Drage Bowser, who tracks ballot measures for the NCSL, identified 17 measures that sought to limit government, and of these, she was surprised to discover that only one passed. “The…

What You Heard About ‘Conservative Democrats’ Winning Was Wrong

by Stuart Rothenberg November 19, 2006 · 11:02 PM EST

It quickly has become conventional wisdom that last week’s Democratic House victory swept in a crop of moderate and conservative Democrats who’ll both keep party liberals in check and help remake the image of the party of former Vice President Al Gore, Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) and soon-to-be…