Arizona Senate. 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake plans to launch her campaign on Oct. 10. Lake, a Trump acolyte, is the clear frontrunner in the GOP primary, but her path to victory in the general election is more complicated. Rep. Ruben Gallego is the likely Democratic nominee. Independent Sen. Kyrsten…
Montana Senate. A new group calling itself Last Best Place PAC has begun a six-figure ad campaign against GOP Senate candidate Tim Sheehy, the former Navy SEAL and aerial firefighting CEO who is currently the only Republican in the race. Politico points out that, while the PAC’s donors won’t be…
Arizona Senate. 2022 Senate candidate Blake Masters plans to run again, according to the Wall Street Journal. He joins Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb in the GOP primary — and 2022 gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake is still mulling a Senate campaign too. Independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema has yet to announce…
In 2018, then-Rep. Jacky Rosen defeated Republican Sen. Dean Heller by 5 points — a landslide victory by Nevada standards that was propelled by a nationwide “Blue Wave.”
Her 2024 re-election campaign is likely to be closer.
Republicans have struggled to win federal races in Nevada over the past decade.…
California’s 13th District. Former state Assemblyman Adam Gray is running against freshman Republican John Duarte in this Central Valley district Democrats need to win to retake the majority. In 2022, Duarte beat Gray by 564 votes in the second-closest House race in the country. Toss-up.
Iowa’s 1st District. Former state…
By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey, & Jacob Rubashkin
Be prepared. With Senate candidates delaying their entry into competitive races and key senators withholding their re-election decisions, and the parties set to nominate two unpopular presidential nominees in a rematch no one is excited about, it feels like we’re in…
Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. The state of the Arizona Senate race has remained static for the past several months. This is largely due to the indecision of two potential candidates: Sinema, and 2022 GOP gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake.
The senator…
Maryland. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Jan. 19. The picture in Maryland got a little clearer when progressive hero Rep. Jamie Raskin opted out of running to succeed Cardin. That leaves 6th District Rep. David Trone and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks as the top…
Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline Feb. 2024. Republicans dodged a massive bullet when state Sen. Doug Mastriano announced that he wouldn’t run for Senate after all. Mastriano’s 15-point loss to Josh Shapiro in last November’s gubernatorial race proved he can’t win…
As Montana has become increasingly Republican, the GOP has failed to dislodge Democratic Sen. Jon Tester from his perch in Washington.
Tester is one of three Democratic senators up for re-election in a state Donald Trump carried in 2020, along with Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown (who is running for re-election)…
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