Archive

New Print Edition: Senate Outlook & House Ratings

September 28, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The September 26, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches) and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive…

Louisiana 6: Cazayoux’s Colleague Contributes to Independent Foe

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 27, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Louisiana Rep. Don Cazayoux (D) can’t rest easy after his special election victory in the 6th district just a few months ago. His victory expanded the Democratic Party’s House majority, but one of his new colleagues, Rep. G.K. Butterfield (D-N.C.), contributed to an Independent candidate who is…

Kentucky 2: DCCC to the Rescue

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 26, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is exercising its financial muscle with television ads on behalf of a cash-strapped candidate in Kentucky’s 2nd district.

State Sen. David Boswell (D) has a similar political profile to southern Reps. Don Cazayoux (D-La.) and Travis Childers…

Will Schumer Get Democrats to 60 Seats This Cycle?

by Stuart Rothenberg September 25, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Nine Republican-held Senate seats continue to be at great risk, giving Democrats at least a theoretical possibility of getting to 60 seats after the November elections.

Increasingly, it appears that three seats could well determine whether the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee can reach…

Idaho Senate Race: Over Before It Began?

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 24, 2008 · 1:07 PM EDT

Former Rep. Larry LaRocco (D) lost his 2006 bid to become Idaho’s lieutenant governor against Jim Risch (R). The two men are facing each other again this cycle for the Senate, and when LaRocco entered the race, some local Democrats and enthusiastic bloggers tried to make the case that 2008 was a…

2008 House Ratings

September 23, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly…

What’s the Top Electoral College State This Year?

by Stuart Rothenberg September 22, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Two months ago in this space, I identified five states that I argued would pick the next president. Tell me how these states — Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, Nevada and Michigan — will go in November, I wrote, and I’ll tell you who will be our next president (“The Big 5: Picking the States That Will…

2008 Gubernatorial Ratings

September 21, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. Democrats currently hold 28 governorships compared to 22 for the Republicans.

# - Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans



LEAN TAKEOVER (1 R, o D)
  • MO Open (Blunt, R)
TOSS-UP (0 R, 2 D)

  • Gregoire…

With Risk Comes Some Loss for EMILY’s List

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 19, 2008 · 2:03 PM EDT

EMILY’s List has earned a reputation as a powerful interest group and has had its share of political victories through the years. When EMILY’s List endorses a candidate, people take notice. But you only have to look at last week’s primaries in New York to understand that the road isn’t always…

New Print Edition: Gubernatorial Outlook, House Ratings, Presidential Battleground

September 19, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The September 18, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches) and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive…