While all of us following this year’s midterms are spending most of our time talking about the GOP’s “base” problems and speculating about whether conservatives and evangelicals will stay home next month, we are missing a story that could turn out to be as big, or even bigger: independents.
Of…
Here are some polls on statewide ballot measures that were released too late to be included in the Rothenberg Political Report‘s original ballot measure rundown.
Of special note are one poll which shows Arizona’s same-sex marriage ban trailing badly (though another poll has it comfortably ahead); a…
Two factors have come together to enhance Democratic prospects for a major House sweep — and neither one has much to do with the quality of Democratic recruiting in the two dozen or so top-tier Democratic House opportunities.
First, a handful of Republican House nominees with considerable…
For race-by-race analysis and explanation of the ratings, you must be a subscriber to the print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report. For a subscription form, click here.
Current Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gain of 18-28 seats, with the caveat that larger gains…
For race-by-race analysis and explanation of the ratings, you must be a subscriber to the print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report. For a subscription form, click here.
Current Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gains of 4-7 seats. (Democrats need to net six for a…
For race-by-race analysis and explanation of the ratings, you must be a subscriber to the print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report. For a subscription form, click here. Republicans currently hold a 28-22 advantage in governorships nationwide.
Current Rothenberg Political Report…
With only a couple of weeks until Election Day, we know there will be a Democratic wave on Nov. 7. And we can be fairly certain that by historical standards it will be high – possibly very high. But we still don’t know how many Republicans once considered safe will be swept out of office.
The…
Now you can listen to Stuart Rothenberg and Morton Kondracke’s Oct. 5 preview of the elections, courtesy of Roll Call newspaper.
President Bush and his allies have spent months trying to drum up support for the administration’s Iraq policies by arguing that the Iraq War isn’t merely an isolated battle but rather the front line in a much larger war against terrorism.
Of course, that’s not a new strategy. They did the same…
