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It quickly has become conventional wisdom that last week’s Democratic House victory swept in a crop of moderate and conservative Democrats who’ll both keep party liberals in check and help remake the image of the party of former Vice President Al Gore, Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) and soon-to-be…
Yes, I know. Leadership fights on Capitol Hill are the ultimate political insider contests. Voters don’t care about them, and once they are over, they are quickly forgotten.
Having said that, Nancy Pelosi’s decision to pick a public fight with her second in command, Maryland Rep. Steny Hoyer,…
In the past, it’s been the AFL-CIO against the Democratic Leadership Council. But not this year. This time, the conservative and moderate wings of the Republican Party have the pleasure of blaming and pointing fingers at each other for the party’s loss.
The blame game remains a staple in…
Well, don’t say we didn’t warn you.
Tuesday’s balloting was about what we expected. A relatively large political wave swept almost 30 House Republicans out of office and appears to have delivered the Senate to Democrats. Of course, we won’t know the status of control of the Senate for a while,…
You know you’ve arrived when you’re on both the Situation Room and YouTube. It’s all downhill from here. Anyway, here’s a clip of our election predictions from November 2.
This column is available free at RollCall.com for a limited time.
With only a few hours remaining until the votes start being counted, there is little uncertainty about the fight for the House, except for questions about exactly which Republican incumbents will be lucky enough to survive.
Polls…
Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gain of 30-36 seats.
PURE TOSS-UP (19 R, 0 D)
- CA 11 (Pombo, R)
- CT 2 (Simmons, R)
- CT 4 (Shays, R)
- FL 16 (Open; Foley, R)
- FL 22 (Shaw, R)
- IL 6 (Open; Hyde, R)
- KS 2 (Ryun, R)
- MN 1 (Gutknecht, R)
- MN 6 (Open; Kennedy, R)
- NM 1 (Wilson, R)
- NY 26 (Reynolds, R)
- OH 1…
Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gain of 30-36 seats.
PURE TOSS-UP (19 R, 0 D)
-
CA 11 (Pombo, R)
-
CT 2 (Simmons, R)
-
CT 4 (Shays, R)
-
FL 16 (Open; Foley, R)
-
FL 22 (Shaw, R)
-
IL 6 (Open; Hyde, R)
-
KS 2 (Ryun, R)
-
MN 1 (Gutknecht, R)
-
MN 6 (Open;…
Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gains of 4-7 seats and state and national dynamics favor Democrats netting six seats and winning control
LIKELY TAKEOVER (2 R, 0 D)
-
DeWine (R-OH)
-
Santorum (R-PA)
LEAN TAKEOVER (4 R, 0 D)
-
Allen (R-VA)
-
Burns, (R-MT)
- …
Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gains of 4-7 seats and state and national dynamics favor Democrats netting six seats and winning control
LIKELY TAKEOVER (2 R, 0 D)
-
DeWine (R-OH)
-
Santorum (R-PA)
LEAN TAKEOVER (4 R, 0 D)
-
Allen (R-VA)
-
Burns, (R-MT)
- …