It May Look and Smell Like a Poll, but Is It?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 10, 2006 · 12:10 AM EDT

I read “Beware of Online Polls” on the Hotline Web log only a few hours before I received a press release from Tennessee GOP Senate hopeful Ed Bryant’s campaign screaming that “Zogby Poll Confirms Bryant Strongest Candidate.” Bryant’s memo was mostly balderdash, and it’s not alone. I’m seeing…

New Print Edition: KY3, MI Senate, & Senate Ratings

April 7, 2006 · 3:39 PM EDT

The new April 7, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.)

Kentucky 3: Bucking the Trend
By Nathan L. Gonzales

Republican incumbents in districts carried by John Kerry are bracing themselves for the potential…

Kentucky 3: Bucking the Trend

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 7, 2006 · 12:57 PM EDT

Republican incumbents in districts carried by John Kerry are bracing themselves for the potential Democratic wave this November, but Kentucky’s 3rd District Cong. Anne Northup (R) is hoping to be the exception rather than the rule.

For four consecutive cycles, Democratic candidates have…

Michigan Senate: Wading Upstream

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 7, 2006 · 11:02 AM EDT

Republicans spent much of last year cycling through a list of potential candidates, but they are still taking their best shot at Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow. Even after names like Cong. Candice Miller, Domino’s Pizza CEO David Brandon, and Jane Abraham dropped off the board, three Republicans…

Do the Democrats Need to Nationalize the Midterm Elections?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 6, 2006 · 12:05 AM EDT

I often get asked whether Democrats will be able to nationalize this year’s midterm elections. It’s both an important and reasonable question, since the answer will determine what kind of year the parties will have in November.

But, alas, it’s the wrong question to ask.

The better question is…

War, What is it Good For?

April 4, 2006 · 12:10 AM EDT

If you listen to some conservative evangelicals these days, we are all standing in the middle of the battlefield of a great war. The War on Terrorism you say? Nope. Bigger. It’s the War on Christians. Whose side are you on?

A recent conference sponsored by Vision America entitled, “The War on…

Things Continue to Fall in Place for John McCain

by Stuart Rothenberg April 3, 2006 · 12:05 AM EDT

It’s still a long time until the Iowa caucuses formally kick off the 2008 race for the White House. But it’s hard not to conclude that events are lining up perfectly for Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), should he decide to make another run.

A weakened President Bush and a damaged Republican Party…

Democrats’ Security Rebound is More About Bush

April 1, 2006 · 12:05 AM EST

Pardon me if I had a feeling of déjà vu, but the sight of dozens of Democratic members of Congress and “first responders” together “rallying” in Washington, D.C. to prove that Democrats are tough on terrorism and the party of “real security” brought back memories of Boston’s Fleet Center and…

Veterans Finding the Going Rough on the Campaign Trail

March 30, 2006 · 12:05 AM EST

We’ve only just begun the primary season, but already there are strong signs that the Democrats’ strategy of recruiting veterans who served in Iraq is a bust.

That’s the unavoidable conclusion that I have come to even after reading the recent press release from the Iraq and Afghanistan…