Redistricting News & Analysis

New Mexico Redistricting: Herrell in the Hot Seat

by Jacob Rubashkin December 31, 2021 · 11:30 AM EST

New Mexico has just three congressional districts, but as one of just seven states in which Democrats fully control the mapmaking process it has drawn serious attention from national Democrats eager to press any advantage that helps them defend their five-seat majority in the U.S. House of Representatives.

The map…

Arizona Redistricting: Democrats’ Grand Canyon Calamity

by Jacob Rubashkin December 30, 2021 · 12:00 PM EST

Arizona’s independent redistricting commission unanimously passed a new congressional map that maintains the state’s breakdown of five districts carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 election and four districts carried by President Donald Trump, but also affords Republicans great opportunities to flip two Democratic-held seats and reclaim a majority of…

California Redistricting: Golden Opportunities

by Jacob Rubashkin December 28, 2021 · 5:00 PM EST

California’s independent redistricting commission unanimously passed a new congressional map for the Golden State that shores up the state’s Democratic delegation and puts several Republicans on their heels. 

That’s a boon for national Democrats looking to hold onto their razor-thin majority in the U.S. House. Despite California’s decidedly blue bent,…

Oklahoma Redistricting: Sooner Shutout

by Jacob Rubashkin December 27, 2021 · 4:02 PM EST

Oklahoma was home to one of the most surprising results of the 2018 midterm elections, when Democrats picked up a deeply Republican district in the heart of the state.

So when this year’s redistricting process rolled around, Republicans in the Oklahoma state legislature took care to ensure such an upset…

Utah Redistricting: Split Lake City

by Jacob Rubashkin December 23, 2021 · 11:42 AM EST

Utah is one of the most Republican states in the union, but it has long had one competitive congressional district centered on Salt Lake City. 

No longer. The new map passed by the Republican state legislature and signed by Gov. Spencer Cox, also a Republican, splits Salt Lake County between…

Idaho Redistricting: No Big Changes Yet

by Jacob Rubashkin December 22, 2021 · 10:11 AM EST

Idaho was the second-fastest growing state between 2010 and 2020, but the Gem State’s 17-percent growth rate was not quite enough to secure it an additional congressional district.

That meant Idaho’s independent redistricting commission had a relatively straightforward task: adjust the two existing districts to account for population shifts.

The…

Ohio Redistricting: Process Serves GOP

by Jacob Rubashkin December 16, 2021 · 2:29 PM EST

A new process led to the same old result as Republicans maximized their control of redistricting in Ohio. 

In 2018, Ohio voters approved a ballot initiative that overhauled the state’s redistricting process with the ostensible goal of producing fairer congressional and state legislative maps. The new scheme incentivized cooperation between…

Nevada Redistricting: Democrats Go Gambling

by Jacob Rubashkin December 3, 2021 · 2:29 PM EST

On Nov. 16, Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak signed his state’s new congressional maps into law. The map was drawn and passed by the Democratic-controlled state legislature and signed by Sisolak, also a Democrat, the same day.

In the 10 years Nevada has had four congressional districts, Republicans have held a…

Montana Redistricting: Back Two the Future

by Jacob Rubashkin November 24, 2021 · 10:15 AM EST

When Montana was assigned an additional congressional district earlier this year, it didn’t just double its representation in the U.S. House. It made history, with Big Sky Country becoming the first state ever to bounce back to multiple members after previously being reduced to one at-large district.

Montana lost its…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): Good to Great for GOP

November 19, 2021 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Republicans are positioned to have somewhere between a good and great set of midterm elections in 2022, and either scenario should deliver the House majority to the GOP. 

With historical midterm trends, redistricting and the current political environment in Republicans’ favor, and the…